Will MF816 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Xiamen Gaoqi · Wed 4 Nov · Xiamen Airlines
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:55≈14:56
As of 18:19, MF816 should push back about 14:56 (scheduled 14:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual afternoonMF816's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈1−4 to 7
weather at Tokyoweather at Xiamendepartures at TokyoXiamen todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 11:55Tokyo time
Last 90 days
61on time
19late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MF816 Tokyo to Xiamen left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 90 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 29. It wasn't cancelled once.