Will M0902 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Ulaanbaatar Chinggis Khaan · Tue 3 Nov · Aero Mongolia
same answer since Tokyo time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:30≈15:42
As of 15:29, M0902 should push back about 15:42 (scheduled 15:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonM0902's typical departure, last 90 days20
Your plane looks on timeIt usually comes in as M0901 from Ulaanbaatar, which has landed−3
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−4
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈104 to 22
weather at Ulaanbaatardepartures at TokyoAero Mongolia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 25Last 90 days
8on time
24late
5very late
8cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
M0902 Tokyo to Ulaanbaatar left within 15 minutes of schedule on 8 of its last 45 flights, usually 21 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 29. It was cancelled 8 times.