Will CA1201 be delayed today?
Beijing → Xi'an Xianyang · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:30≈14:46
Lands16:50≈16:57
As of 06:19, CA1201 should push back about 14:46 (scheduled 14:30) and land about 16:57 (scheduled 16:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonCA1201's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at Xi'anFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up50% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈158 to 36
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈7
Air China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 34
Check again 11:30Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
41late
15very late
3cancelled
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T
W
T
F
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CA1201 Beijing to Xi'an left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 88 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 56. It was cancelled 3 times.