Will CA1225 be delayed today?
Beijing → Xi'an Xianyang · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:15≈15:26
Lands17:35≈17:37
As of 13:19, CA1225 should push back about 15:26 (scheduled 15:15) and land about 17:37 (scheduled 17:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonCA1225's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−2
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up55% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Air China is running late today39% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 19 min late+2
Leaves≈105 to 24
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈2
weather at Xi'anstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 56Check again 14:30Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
17late
0very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1225 Beijing to Xi'an left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 64 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It was cancelled once.