Will CA1411 be delayed today?
Beijing → Chongqing Jiangbei · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:00≈15:12
Lands17:50≈17:53
As of 06:19, CA1411 should push back about 15:12 (scheduled 15:00) and land about 17:53 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonCA1411's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Beijing is backing up50% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 37
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈3
weather at ChongqingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
Check again 12:00Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
31on time
26late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CA1411 Beijing to Chongqing left within 15 minutes of schedule on 31 of its last 67 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It wasn't cancelled once.