Will CA1445 be delayed today?
Beijing → Kunming Changshui · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:25≈10:42
Lands14:05≈14:10
As of 06:59, CA1445 should push back about 10:42 (scheduled 10:25) and land about 14:10 (scheduled 14:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningCA1445's typical departure, last 90 days18
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈158 to 27
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈5
weather at KunmingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 07:25Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
36on time
40late
12very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA1445 Beijing to Kunming left within 15 minutes of schedule on 36 of its last 89 flights, usually 17 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 52. It was cancelled once.