Will CA4172 be delayed tomorrow?
Beijing → Kunming Changshui · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:20≈11:28
Lands15:00≈14:57
As of 20:19, CA4172 should push back about 11:28 (scheduled 11:20) and land about 14:57 (scheduled 15:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual morningCA4172's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CA4171 from Kunming, not departed yet0
Leaves≈83 to 20
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈−3
weather at Beijingweather at Kunmingdepartures at BeijingAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 93
Check again tomorrow 08:20Beijing time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
48on time
31late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA4172 Beijing to Kunming left within 15 minutes of schedule on 48 of its last 88 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.