Will CA8904 be delayed today?
Beijing → Dalian Zhoushuizi · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:25≈11:29
As of 07:39, CA8904 should push back about 11:29 (scheduled 11:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningCA8904's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−1
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈42 to 15
weather at DalianAir China todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:25Beijing time
Last 90 days
69on time
13late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA8904 Beijing to Dalian left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.