Will CA8910 be delayed today?
Beijing → Dalian Zhoushuizi · Sun 1 Nov · Air China
updated Beijing time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈15:57
As of 15:59, CA8910 should push back about 15:57 (scheduled 15:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonCA8910's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBeijing departures board−4
Calmer than usual at BeijingFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Beijing is backing up73% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Air China is running late today45% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 6 min late; yesterday this flight left 22 min late+2
Leaves≈104 to 21
weather at Dalianstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
46on time
31late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CA8910 Beijing to Dalian left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 86 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.