Will UX1503 be delayed tomorrow?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · Air Europa
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:00≈07:03
Lands09:40≈09:37
As of 15:19, UX1503 should push back about 07:03 (scheduled 07:00) and land about 09:37 (scheduled 09:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningUX1503's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UX1506 from Frankfurt, due 21:450
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈31 to 10
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−3
weather at Frankfurtdepartures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 21:45Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
70on time
12late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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UX1503 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 70 of its last 82 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.