Will UX1509 be delayed tomorrow?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sun 1 Nov · Air Europa · as AD7877, AM6955, EY4373, MU4954
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:18
Lands17:50≈17:49
As of 18:19, UX1509 should push back about 15:18 (scheduled 15:10) and land about 17:49 (scheduled 17:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonUX1509's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UX1502 from Frankfurt, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at FrankfurtFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 12% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈82 to 20
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−1
departures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again tomorrow 12:10Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
54on time
22late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UX1509 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 79 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.