Will AA1533 be delayed today?
Miami → Washington National · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:19.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:19≈19:12
Lands22:01≈21:45
As of 10:19, AA1533 should push back about 19:12 (scheduled 19:19) and land about 21:45 (scheduled 22:01).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min early
A usual eveningAA1533's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your plane is on timeN310UM is coming from Kralendijk, due 17:57−1
Miami is running smoothly14% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
American is running well today11% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 17 min early−3
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−7−14 to 0
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−16
weather at Miamiweather at Washingtonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 154Check again 17:57Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
5late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1533 Miami to Washington left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 26 flights, usually 6 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.