Will AA170 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Los Angeles · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:05≈13:08
Lands06:23≈06:16
As of 01:19, AA170 should push back about 13:08 (scheduled 13:05) and land about 06:16 (scheduled 06:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonAA170's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA169 from Los Angeles, due 05:050
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Leaves≈31 to 18
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−7
weather at Los Angelesdepartures at TokyoAmerican todayFAA ground stops and delay programsstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 133Check again 05:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
75on time
2late
12very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA170 Tokyo to Los Angeles left within 15 minutes of schedule on 75 of its last 89 flights, usually 7 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.