Will AA26 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Los Angeles · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 110 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:00≈19:49
Lands11:18≈12:47
As of 06:49, AA26 should push back about 19:49 (scheduled 18:00) and land about 12:47 (scheduled 11:18).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈110 min
A usual eveningAA26's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA27 from Los Angeles, due 15:050
The board already shows 97 min lateTokyo departures board+99
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈11098 to 149
Made up in the air−20
Lands≈90
weather at Los Angelesdepartures at TokyoAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
usually 1 in 103Check again 15:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
3late
9very late
1cancelled
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T
W
T
F
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AA26 Tokyo to Los Angeles left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 87 flights, usually 6 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It was cancelled once.