Will AA2933 be delayed today?
Miami → San Francisco · Tue 3 Nov · American Airlines
same answer since Miami time
Very likely, by about 90 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:51≈17:20Miami time
Lands19:17≈20:40San Francisco time
As of 15:39, AA2933 should push back about 17:20 (scheduled 15:51) and land about 20:40 (scheduled 19:17).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈90 min
A usual afternoonAA2933's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane is hereN341RW landed from Las Vegas−3
The board already shows 60 min lateMiami departures board+51
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, 89% chance of rain at Miami today+3
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 52% 15+ min late−1
Miami is backing up40% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
FAA ground delay program at San FranciscoGround delay program at San Francisco, about 114 min; FAA delays at San Francisco, about 30 min+22
Leaves≈9067 to 122
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈85
American todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
usually 1 in 40Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
13on time
2late
5very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2933 Miami to San Francisco left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 21 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It was cancelled once.