Will AA5868 be delayed tomorrow?
Philadelphia → Buffalo Niagara · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:38≈07:31
Lands09:14≈09:04
As of 18:19, AA5868 should push back about 07:31 (scheduled 07:38) and land about 09:04 (scheduled 09:14).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min early
A usual morningAA5868's typical departure, last 90 days−6
Your planeNot assigned yet. We usually see it from about 18:530
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−7−13 to −2
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−10
weather at Buffalodepartures at PhiladelphiaAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:53Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
2late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5868 Philadelphia to Buffalo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 23 flights, usually 7 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.