Will NH409 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Akita · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:20≈20:27
Lands21:25≈21:31
As of 11:19, NH409 should push back about 20:27 (scheduled 20:20) and land about 21:31 (scheduled 21:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningNH409's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH570 from Kochi, due 19:40+1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly30% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈72 to 21
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈6
weather at AkitaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
usually 1 in 33Check again 19:40Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
63on time
20late
5very late
2cancelled
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NH409 Tokyo to Akita left within 15 minutes of schedule on 63 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It was cancelled twice.