Will NH453 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kyushu Saga · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:15≈13:21
As of 08:59, NH453 should push back about 13:21 (scheduled 13:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonNH453's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly15% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈62 to 14
weather at SagaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:15Tokyo time
Last 90 days
54on time
31late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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NH453 Tokyo to Saga left within 15 minutes of schedule on 54 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It wasn't cancelled once.