Will NH457 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kyushu Saga · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:25≈19:33
As of 08:19, NH457 should push back about 19:33 (scheduled 19:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual eveningNH457's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at SagaFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈82 to 22
ANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 60Check again 16:25Tokyo time
Last 90 days
37on time
43late
9very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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NH457 Tokyo to Saga left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 52. It was cancelled once.