Will NH51 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Mon 2 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:00≈07:02
Lands08:35≈08:39
As of 15:19, NH51 should push back about 07:02 (scheduled 07:00) and land about 08:39 (scheduled 08:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningNH51's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈20 to 9
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈4
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 189
Check again tomorrow 04:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
78on time
12late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH51 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 78 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.