Will JL501 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 06:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves06:25≈06:28
Lands08:00≈08:05
As of 23:19, JL501 should push back about 06:28 (scheduled 06:25) and land about 08:05 (scheduled 08:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual morningJL501's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈31 to 8
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈5
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tonight 03:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
85on time
5late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JL501 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 85 of its last 90 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.