Will NH853 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Taipei Songshan · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:45≈12:44
As of 07:59, NH853 should push back about 12:44 (scheduled 12:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual afternoonNH853's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−5 to 11
weather at TaipeiANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:45Tokyo time
Last 90 days
59on time
17late
12very late
1cancelled
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NH853 Tokyo to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 59 of its last 89 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 29. It was cancelled once.