Will CI221 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Taipei Songshan · Sun 1 Nov · China Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:15≈14:12
As of 07:19, CI221 should push back about 14:12 (scheduled 14:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonCI221's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈−3−8 to 2
weather at Taipeidepartures at TokyoChina Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:15Tokyo time
Last 90 days
72on time
12late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CI221 Tokyo to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 88 flights, usually 4 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.