Will NH865 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Seoul Gimpo · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:55≈15:57
Lands18:15≈18:13
As of 07:19, NH865 should push back about 15:57 (scheduled 15:55) and land about 18:13 (scheduled 18:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonNH865's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈2−1 to 11
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−2
weather at Seouldepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:55Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
82on time
6late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH865 Tokyo to Seoul left within 15 minutes of schedule on 82 of its last 90 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.