Will CX509 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Hong Kong · Mon 2 Nov · Cathay Pacific
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:50≈08:48
Lands12:45≈12:34
As of 17:19, CX509 should push back about 08:48 (scheduled 08:50) and land about 12:34 (scheduled 12:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual morningCX509's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CX524 from Hong Kong, not departed yet0
Leaves≈−2−5 to 2
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−11
weather at Tokyoweather at Hong Kongdepartures at TokyoCathay Pacific todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 125
usually 1 in 172Check again tomorrow 05:50Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
77on time
8late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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CX509 Tokyo to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 77 of its last 89 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.