Will UO857 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Hong Kong · Mon 2 Nov · HK Express
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:15≈08:13Tokyo time
Lands12:10≈11:56Hong Kong time
As of 20:19, UO857 should push back about 08:13 (scheduled 08:15) and land about 11:56 (scheduled 12:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual morningUO857's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UO854 from Hong Kong, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−2−7 to 4
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−14
weather at Hong Kongdepartures at TokyoHong Kong Express todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
usually 1 in 9Check again tomorrow 05:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
78on time
3late
1very late
8cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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UO857 Tokyo to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 78 of its last 90 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It was cancelled 8 times.