Will CX521 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Hong Kong · Sun 1 Nov · Cathay Pacific
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 30 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:50≈17:20
Lands20:45≈21:02
As of 16:59, CX521 should push back about 17:20 (scheduled 16:50) and land about 21:02 (scheduled 20:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈30 min
A usual afternoonCX521's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CX520 from Hong Kong, 7 min behind, due 15:370
The board already shows 20 min lateTokyo departures board+15
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈3020 to 38
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈15
weather at Hong Kongdepartures at TokyoCathay Pacific todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 60Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
41late
19very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CX521 Tokyo to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 90 flights, usually 25 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 60. It was cancelled once.