Will CI109 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Taipei Taiwan Taoyuan · Sun 1 Nov · China Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:30≈19:46
Lands22:10≈22:16
As of 17:39, CI109 should push back about 19:46 (scheduled 19:30) and land about 22:16 (scheduled 22:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningCI109's typical departure, last 90 days21
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as CI108 from Taipei, 5 min behind, due 18:350
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−3
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly28% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈156 to 31
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈6
weather at TaipeiChina todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 143
Check again 18:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
34on time
42late
12very late
0cancelled
M
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W
T
F
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CI109 Tokyo to Taipei left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 88 flights, usually 17 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 54. It wasn't cancelled once.