Will CZ3086 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Guangzhou Baiyun · Sun 1 Nov · China Southern
updated Tokyo time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:45≈10:41
Lands14:32≈14:20
As of 09:39, CZ3086 should push back about 10:41 (scheduled 10:45) and land about 14:20 (scheduled 14:32).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual morningCZ3086's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly21% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−4−8 to 1
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−12
weather at GuangzhouChina Southern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 70Check again 10:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
84on time
4late
1very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CZ3086 Tokyo to Guangzhou left within 15 minutes of schedule on 84 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It was cancelled once.