Will CZ386 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Guangzhou Baiyun · Sun 1 Nov · China Southern
updated Tokyo time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:05≈15:02
Lands18:52≈18:37
As of 11:49, CZ386 should push back about 15:02 (scheduled 15:05) and land about 18:37 (scheduled 18:52).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual afternoonCZ386's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 1
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−15
weather at Guangzhoudepartures at TokyoChina Southern todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
15late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CZ386 Tokyo to Guangzhou left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 90 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.