Will UO647 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Hong Kong · Sun 1 Nov · HK Express
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:00≈19:03
Lands22:55≈22:43
As of 18:39, UO647 should push back about 19:03 (scheduled 19:00) and land about 22:43 (scheduled 22:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningUO647's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as UO646 from Hong Kong, due 18:05−1
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−3
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈3−2 to 11
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈−12
weather at Hong Kongdepartures at TokyoHong Kong Express todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 116Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
70on time
14late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UO647 Tokyo to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 70 of its last 90 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It wasn't cancelled once.