Will IB581 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Iberia · as LA1731, QR6988, VY5145
same answer since Madrid time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:05≈18:14
Lands≈20:05
As of 12:59, IB581 should push back about 18:14 (scheduled 18:05) and land about 20:05 (scheduled 20:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual eveningIB581's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈93 to 28
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈0
departures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 15:05Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
34on time
22late
18very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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IB581 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 74 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 40. It wasn't cancelled once.