Will TO4635 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Orly · Sun 1 Nov · Transavia
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:25≈14:31
Lands16:25≈16:23
As of 01:19, TO4635 should push back about 14:31 (scheduled 14:25) and land about 16:23 (scheduled 16:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonTO4635's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as TO4634 from Paris, due 13:350
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈61 to 21
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−2
departures at MadridTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 13:35Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
17on time
11late
1very late
0cancelled
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TO4635 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 17 of its last 29 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.