Will AZ4484 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Honolulu Daniel K. Inouye · Sat 31 Oct · ITA Airways · operated by United as UA1509
updated San Francisco time
Very likely, by about 55 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:47≈17:41
Lands19:22≈20:05
As of 12:59, AZ4484 should push back about 17:41 (scheduled 16:47) and land about 20:05 (scheduled 19:22).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈55 min
A usual afternoonUA1509's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 69 min lateSan Francisco departures board+58
San Francisco is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−3
United is running well today13% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 2 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈5554 to 106
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈45
weather at San Franciscoweather at Honolulustorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:47San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
66on time
13late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
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T
F
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AZ4484 San Francisco to Honolulu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 66 of its last 87 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It was cancelled once.