Will UA1509 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Honolulu Daniel K. Inouye · Sat 31 Oct · United · as AC3514, AV2255, AZ4484, EK6363, LH7726, NZ9142
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:47.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:47≈16:45
Lands19:22≈19:12
As of 09:19, UA1509 should push back about 16:45 (scheduled 16:47) and land about 19:12 (scheduled 19:22).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA1509's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly1% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 1
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−10
weather at HonoluluUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:47San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
66on time
13late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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UA1509 San Francisco to Honolulu left within 15 minutes of schedule on 66 of its last 87 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It was cancelled once.