Will JM8606 be delayed today?
Nairobi → Mombasa Moi · Wed 4 Nov · Jambojet
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:30. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:30≈18:34
As of 19:49, JM8606 was due to push back about 18:34 (scheduled 18:30). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
Thin board data at this airport.
same answer since Nairobi time
Why ≈4 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Nairobi; JM8606 is new to us6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JM8657 from Kisumu, due 17:500
On time on the board so farNairobi departures board−2
Calmer than usual at NairobiFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Nairobi is backing upFew departures reported recently+1
Leaves≈4−2 to 18
weather at MombasaJambojet Limited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes