willmyflightbedelayed?

Will JM8710 be delayed today?

Nairobi → Mombasa Moi · Wed 4 Nov · Jambojet

It should have left by now.

We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:30. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves17:30≈17:34

As of 20:19, JM8710 was due to push back about 17:34 (scheduled 17:30). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

Thin board data at this airport.

same answer since Nairobi time

Why ≈4 min

A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Nairobi; JM8710 is new to us6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farNairobi departures board−2
Calmer than usual at NairobiFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Nairobi is backing upFew departures reported recently+1
Leaves≈4−1 to 17

weather at MombasaJambojet Limited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? 1 in 81

usually 1 in 27

Other Nairobi → Mombasa flights today