Will JL3515 be delayed tomorrow?
Fukuoka → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Fukuoka time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:40≈14:43
Lands17:00≈17:01
As of 23:19, JL3515 should push back about 14:43 (scheduled 14:40) and land about 17:01 (scheduled 17:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonJL3515's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at FukuokaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈30 to 10
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈1
weather at Sapporodepartures at FukuokaJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 189
usually 1 in 105Check again tomorrow 11:40Fukuoka time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
77on time
12late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL3515 Fukuoka to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 77 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 13. It wasn't cancelled once.