Will MM455 be delayed today?
Fukuoka → Sapporo New Chitose · Sun 1 Nov · Peach
updated Fukuoka time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:10≈11:09
Lands13:30≈13:28
As of 07:39, MM455 should push back about 11:09 (scheduled 11:10) and land about 13:28 (scheduled 13:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual morningMM455's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farFukuoka departures board−1
Calmer than usual at FukuokaFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Fukuoka is running smoothly0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−3 to 3
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈−2
weather at SapporoPeach todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:10Fukuoka time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
85on time
5late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MM455 Fukuoka to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 85 of its last 90 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 5. It wasn't cancelled once.