Will JL499 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kochi Ryoma · Sun 1 Nov · Japan Airlines
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:55≈18:59
Lands≈20:15
As of 08:19, JL499 should push back about 18:59 (scheduled 18:55) and land about 20:15 (scheduled 20:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual eveningJL499's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JL430 from Matsuyama, due 08:500
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈41 to 11
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈0
weather at Kochidepartures at TokyoJapan Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 56Check again 08:50Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
73on time
13late
2very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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JL499 Tokyo to Kochi left within 15 minutes of schedule on 73 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It was cancelled twice.