Will JQ802 be delayed today?
Brisbane → Adelaide · Sun 1 Nov · Jetstar
updated Brisbane time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:30≈18:33
Lands21:55≈21:58
As of 16:49, JQ802 should push back about 18:33 (scheduled 18:30) and land about 21:58 (scheduled 21:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningJQ802's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as JQ803 from Adelaide, due 17:43−1
On time on the board so farBrisbane departures board−2
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 35 kt at Brisbane today+2
Thunderstorms possible at AdelaideFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Adelaide today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 45% 15+ min late+1
Brisbane is running smoothly20% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Jetstar is running late today39% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 4 min late+2
Leaves≈30 to 16
storms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 30
usually 1 in 64Check again 17:43Brisbane time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
9on time
2late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
JQ802 Brisbane to Adelaide left within 15 minutes of schedule on 9 of its last 13 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.