Will QF1281 be delayed today?
Brisbane → Adelaide · Sun 1 Nov · Qantas
updated Brisbane time
Maybe, by about 9 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:00≈18:09
Lands21:25≈21:34
As of 15:19, QF1281 should push back about 18:09 (scheduled 18:00) and land about 21:34 (scheduled 21:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual eveningQF1281's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as QF1593 from Hamilton Island, due 16:400
On time on the board so farBrisbane departures board−1
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 35 kt at Brisbane today+3
Thunderstorms possible at AdelaideFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, gusts to about 30 kt at Adelaide today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 33% 15+ min late+1
Brisbane is backing up21% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈90 to 30
Qantas todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 25
usually 1 in 79Check again 16:40Brisbane time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
57on time
3late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
QF1281 Brisbane to Adelaide left within 15 minutes of schedule on 57 of its last 61 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.