Will LA1646 be delayed today?
Madrid → Frankfurt · Sat 31 Oct · LATAM · operated by Iberia as IB1331
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:50≈19:59
Lands22:35≈22:32
As of 15:59, LA1646 should push back about 19:59 (scheduled 19:50) and land about 22:32 (scheduled 22:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual eveningIB1331's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Madrid is backing up47% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Iberia is running late today54% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 8 min late+3
Leaves≈94 to 18
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−3
weather at Frankfurtstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 16:50Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
56on time
20late
7very late
0cancelled
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LA1646 Madrid to Frankfurt left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 83 flights, usually 10 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It wasn't cancelled once.