Will MM365 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Wed 4 Nov · Peach
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave about 5 minutes late, around 16:15.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:10≈16:15
Lands≈18:20
As of 19:19, MM365 should push back about 16:15 (scheduled 16:10) and land about 18:20 (scheduled 18:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonMM365's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MM356 from Fukuoka, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈50 to 14
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
weather at Fukuokadepartures at TokyoPeach Aviation todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 13:10Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
53on time
27late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MM365 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 53 of its last 90 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 37. It wasn't cancelled once.