Will MM563 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Wed 4 Nov · Peach
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:50≈08:52
Lands10:40≈10:42
As of 12:49, MM563 should push back about 08:52 (scheduled 08:50) and land about 10:42 (scheduled 10:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningMM563's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈2−1 to 7
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoPeach Aviation todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 76Check again tomorrow 05:50Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
10on time
3late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MM563 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 13 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.