Will MM565 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Sapporo New Chitose · Wed 4 Nov · Peach
same answer since Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:35≈10:37
Lands≈12:25
As of 14:19, MM565 should push back about 10:37 (scheduled 10:35) and land about 12:25 (scheduled 12:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningMM565's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as MM348 from Fukuoka, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈2−1 to 9
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈0
weather at Sapporodepartures at TokyoPeach Aviation todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 07:35Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
72on time
18late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
MM565 Tokyo to Sapporo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 72 of its last 90 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.