Will WN3224 be delayed today?
Ontario → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · Southwest
same answer since Ontario time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:00≈16:08Ontario time
Lands18:20≈18:28Phoenix time
As of 16:39, WN3224 should push back about 16:08 (scheduled 16:00) and land about 18:28 (scheduled 18:20).
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Ontario; WN3224 is new to us9
Your plane is hereN226WN landed from Oakland0
On time on the board so farOntario departures board−2
Calmer than usual at OntarioFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 31% 15+ min late+1
Southwest is running late today44% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 31 min late+2
FAA plan for todayThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Phoenix−1
Leaves≈8−3 to 27
departures at Ontariostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
