Will TO4638 be delayed today?
Paris → Madrid Barajas · Thu 5 Nov · Transavia
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:05. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:05≈17:08
Lands19:15≈19:09
As of 17:59, TO4638 was due to push back about 17:08 (scheduled 17:05). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
same answer since Paris time
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningTO4638's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farParis departures board−2
Calmer than usual at ParisFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Paris is running smoothly25% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈3−1 to 13
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈−6
weather at MadridTransavia France todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
27on time
19late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
TO4638 Paris to Madrid left within 15 minutes of schedule on 27 of its last 50 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It wasn't cancelled once.
Connecting at Madrid?
See the time each connection from this flight had, day by day, on GateConnections.