Will UA1798 be delayed today?
Houston → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:20≈14:18
Lands15:20≈15:10
As of 08:39, UA1798 should push back about 14:18 (scheduled 14:20) and land about 15:10 (scheduled 15:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonUA1798's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
More rain than usual at PhoenixFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−1
Leaves≈−2−6 to 1
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−10
departures at HoustonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:20Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
55on time
5late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1798 Houston to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 55 of its last 66 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 11. It wasn't cancelled once.