Will UA1830 be delayed today?
Houston → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sat 31 Oct · United
updated Houston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:35≈18:33
Lands19:37≈19:30
As of 13:59, UA1830 should push back about 18:33 (scheduled 18:35) and land about 19:30 (scheduled 19:37).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual eveningUA1830's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 94% chance of rain at Houston today+1
More rain than usual at PhoenixFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 5% 15+ min late+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA expects constraints at Houston today−2
Leaves≈−2−5 to 9
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−7
departures at HoustonUnited todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:35Houston time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
26on time
4late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UA1830 Houston to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 26 of its last 33 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.